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Red44
95516.6
70114.3
7535.6
Blue27
172613.2
85218.4
16629.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354302060804427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
Unranked
16.60.1
16.416.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
852
Unranked
18.40.3
18.718.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
701
Unranked
14.30.1
14.114.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1726
Unranked
13.20.3
13.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
753
Unranked
5.60.1
5.55.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
1662
Unranked
9.80.3
10.19.8
Auto
Teleop
End