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Red43
76614.2
56812.5
83514.5
Blue38
145813.6
11511.8
3689.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433402060801004338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
835
Unranked
14.50.0
14.714.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1458
Unranked
13.60.0
13.713.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
766
Unranked
14.20.0
14.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
115
Unranked
11.80.0
11.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
568
Unranked
12.50.0
12.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
368
Unranked
9.60.0
9.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End