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Red75
172613.2
85218.4
16629.8
Blue8
16787.5
3413.0
138813.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43340206080100758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
852
Unranked
18.40.7
18.519.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1388
Unranked
13.40.6
13.913.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1726
Unranked
13.20.6
13.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
34
Unranked
13.00.5
13.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1662
Unranked
9.80.7
9.910.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1678
Unranked
7.50.6
8.17.5
Auto
Teleop
End