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Red20
11511.8
3689.6
145813.6
Blue47
76614.2
13239.2
70114.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2321101525303540452047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1458
Unranked
13.60.1
8.88.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
701
Unranked
14.31.4
6.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
115
Unranked
11.80.1
6.56.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
766
Unranked
14.21.4
7.69.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
368
Unranked
9.60.1
7.27.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1323
Unranked
9.22.1
7.09.1
Auto
Teleop
End