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Red27
131811.4
16787.5
10729.6
Blue12
8415.8
169611.7
6926.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2817010204050602712

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
Unranked
11.40.0
9.39.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1696
Unranked
11.70.3
9.08.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1072
Unranked
9.60.0
9.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
692
Unranked
6.50.5
5.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1678
Unranked
7.50.0
7.97.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
841
Unranked
5.80.3
4.44.1
Auto
Teleop
End