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Red8
16952.4
16629.8
70114.3
Blue14
19386.1
11412.9
7519.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18280104050607080814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
Unranked
14.30.5
8.98.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
114
Unranked
12.90.6
12.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1662
Unranked
9.80.9
5.34.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
751
Unranked
9.30.6
8.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1695
Unranked
2.40.9
4.63.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1938
Unranked
6.11.1
5.14.1
Auto
Teleop
End