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Red26
6926.5
4814.6
85218.4
Blue47
95611.7
24512.6
13239.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243304060801002647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
852
Unranked
18.40.1
16.516.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
245
Unranked
12.60.7
11.412.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
692
Unranked
6.50.1
4.54.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
956
Unranked
11.70.7
13.414.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
481
Unranked
4.60.1
3.93.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
1323
Unranked
9.21.2
7.48.6
Auto
Teleop
End