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Red30
6926.5
8148.1
70114.3
Blue57
24512.6
183413.8
167110.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183001040506070803057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
Unranked
14.30.5
8.48.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1834
Unranked
13.81.4
10.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
814
Unranked
8.10.9
6.87.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
245
Unranked
12.61.4
12.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
692
Unranked
6.50.9
4.65.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1671
Unranked
10.02.3
5.98.2
Auto
Teleop
End