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Red60
11479.8
172613.2
11511.8
Blue9
8415.8
4814.6
24512.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3125010204050607080609

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1726
Unranked
13.21.5
11.613.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
245
Unranked
12.60.8
13.712.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
115
Unranked
11.81.5
9.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
841
Unranked
5.80.8
6.75.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1147
Unranked
9.82.2
8.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
481
Unranked
4.60.8
5.44.6
Auto
Teleop
End