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Red30
1084.9
18015.4
19614.8
Blue31
12255.9
42218.0
8037.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212601030405060703031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
Unranked
15.40.4
14.314.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
422
Unranked
18.00.3
15.015.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
108
Unranked
4.90.4
2.73.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
803
Unranked
7.60.5
5.25.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1961
Unranked
4.80.7
4.75.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1225
Unranked
5.90.5
4.95.4
Auto
Teleop
End