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Red11
12499.7
13207.3
3378.6
Blue36
3414.2
12255.9
14721.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022010405060701136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1249
Unranked
9.70.9
13.412.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
34
Unranked
14.20.7
12.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
337
Unranked
8.60.9
9.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1225
Unranked
5.91.1
5.46.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1320
Unranked
7.31.5
6.75.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
1472
Unranked
1.41.1
4.85.9
Auto
Teleop
End