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Qual 472006 Palmetto Regional
Red18
19614.8
19592.5
81815.3
Blue17
3414.2
15396.6
5075.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263101020405060701817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
Unranked
15.30.4
16.7→16.2
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Teleop—
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red by 1.1
34
Unranked
14.20.7
13.4→12.7
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Second
1961
Unranked
4.80.7
5.4→4.7
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Teleop—
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blue by 1.8
1539
Unranked
6.61.1
10.1→9.0
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Teleop—
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Third
1959
Unranked
2.50.7
4.8→4.0
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Teleop—
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blue by 3.4
507
Unranked
5.91.1
7.2→6.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—