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Red3
19614.8
2813.6
14668.9
Blue46
1613.0
3378.6
81815.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23380103050607080346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
Unranked
8.91.8
13.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
818
Unranked
15.30.5
16.216.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1961
Unranked
4.81.8
4.72.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
16
Unranked
13.00.5
11.712.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
281
Unranked
3.61.1
6.25.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
337
Unranked
8.60.5
8.18.6
Auto
Teleop
End