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Red45
12936.8
34319.6
11026.0
Blue18
42218.0
2813.6
128410.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32331020405060704518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
Unranked
19.60.7
20.421.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
422
Unranked
18.00.8
17.917.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1293
Unranked
6.81.0
6.57.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
1284
Unranked
10.81.2
10.18.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1102
Unranked
6.00.7
5.05.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
281
Unranked
3.60.8
5.14.4
Auto
Teleop
End