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Red2
15396.6
14668.9
14721.4
Blue24
1120.7
16180.7
18015.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183806080224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
Unranked
8.91.4
10.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
11
Unranked
20.70.6
17.416.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1539
Unranked
6.61.4
8.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
180
Unranked
15.40.6
16.816.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1472
Unranked
1.41.4
2.81.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1618
Unranked
0.70.8
1.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End