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Red32
25430.6
58118.0
7667.5
Blue9
66814.5
128020.9
16937.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604202080100120329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
30.60.4
31.130.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
1280
Unranked
20.90.6
21.520.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
581
Unranked
18.00.5
18.518.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
668
Unranked
14.50.7
15.314.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
766
Unranked
7.50.5
8.07.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1693
Unranked
7.10.7
7.87.1
Auto
Teleop
End