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Red5
10729.9
66814.5
8404.8
Blue11
15601.7
16416.5
11414.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29230102040506070511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
Unranked
14.51.9
7.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
114
Unranked
14.10.6
12.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1072
Unranked
9.91.9
10.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1641
Unranked
6.51.1
5.94.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
840
Unranked
4.81.9
10.08.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1560
Unranked
1.71.1
5.44.3
Auto
Teleop
End