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Red20
13519.6
16969.4
2536.3
Blue9
186811.4
16416.5
6755.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202151015253035209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
Unranked
9.60.0
7.97.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1868
Unranked
11.41.0
9.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1696
Unranked
9.40.0
6.96.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1641
Unranked
6.51.0
4.93.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
253
Unranked
6.30.0
5.45.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
675
Unranked
5.91.0
6.45.4
Auto
Teleop
End