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Red40
88.7
66814.5
11208.4
Blue12
16969.4
9717.0
8404.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262204060804012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
Unranked
14.51.2
9.310.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1696
Unranked
9.40.9
10.39.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8
Unranked
8.71.2
9.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
971
Unranked
7.00.9
6.45.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1120
Unranked
8.41.2
6.47.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
840
Unranked
4.80.9
5.54.6
Auto
Teleop
End