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Red40
1155.0
25430.6
2536.3
Blue34
64910.7
25613.3
8404.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372101030506070804034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
30.60.3
25.125.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
256
Unranked
13.30.9
10.911.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
253
Unranked
6.30.4
4.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
649
Unranked
10.71.0
7.08.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
115
Unranked
5.00.4
5.15.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
840
Unranked
4.80.9
4.65.5
Auto
Teleop
End