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Red31
10317.8
11414.1
7667.5
Blue14
16416.5
9737.9
8414.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2818010405060703114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
Unranked
14.10.2
13.814.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
973
Unranked
7.90.4
8.58.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1031
Unranked
7.80.3
7.67.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1641
Unranked
6.50.4
4.74.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
766
Unranked
7.50.3
5.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
841
Unranked
4.60.4
6.25.7
Auto
Teleop
End