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Red32
8468.4
19674.8
11208.4
Blue25
10729.9
6755.9
18348.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1927010405060703225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
Unranked
8.40.9
8.39.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1072
Unranked
9.90.1
10.210.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1120
Unranked
8.40.9
7.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1834
Unranked
8.60.1
9.29.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1967
Unranked
4.80.9
4.25.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
675
Unranked
5.90.1
6.76.6
Auto
Teleop
End