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Red54
25430.6
10729.9
1007.4
Blue26
60413.7
7517.0
18348.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46300204060801005426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
30.60.5
26.927.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.9
604
Unranked
13.70.3
15.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1072
Unranked
9.90.7
10.110.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1834
Unranked
8.60.4
9.18.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
100
Unranked
7.40.7
6.97.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
751
Unranked
7.00.4
7.57.1
Auto
Teleop
End