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Red45
12555.5
6248.3
188412.8
Blue10
15618.5
6533.4
317.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21210103040504510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1884
Unranked
12.82.0
7.39.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1561
Unranked
8.50.9
9.38.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
624
Unranked
8.31.6
7.89.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
31
Unranked
7.90.9
5.34.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1255
Unranked
5.52.0
6.18.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
653
Unranked
3.40.9
6.35.4
Auto
Teleop
End