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Red0
92210.3
12094.8
18671.5
Blue9
17505.1
18189.0
6533.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19220103040506009

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
922
Unranked
10.31.6
8.06.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1818
Unranked
9.00.6
8.27.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1209
Unranked
4.81.6
4.32.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1750
Unranked
5.11.1
8.17.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1867
Unranked
1.51.6
7.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
653
Unranked
3.41.1
5.44.4
Auto
Teleop
End