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Red41
4343.6
18652.9
43710.4
Blue43
7049.7
4769.2
142118.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1928010405060704143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
437
Unranked
10.41.7
9.411.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
1421
Unranked
18.71.3
11.613.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
434
Unranked
3.61.7
6.88.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
704
Unranked
9.71.3
6.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1865
Unranked
2.91.7
4.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
476
Unranked
9.21.3
8.49.7
Auto
Teleop
End