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Red40
18189.0
142118.7
191312.2
Blue14
41814.3
12555.5
18983.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27300204060804014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1421
Unranked
18.71.1
13.014.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
418
Unranked
14.31.3
17.616.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1913
Unranked
12.21.1
6.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
1255
Unranked
5.51.3
7.25.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1818
Unranked
9.00.6
7.68.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1898
Unranked
3.21.3
4.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End