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Red26
18587.5
12094.8
14847.6
Blue15
18019.3
4577.9
15131.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142101030405060702615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1484
Unranked
7.60.9
5.86.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1801
Unranked
9.30.4
6.66.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1858
Unranked
7.50.9
6.47.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
457
Unranked
7.90.2
8.68.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1209
Unranked
4.80.9
2.63.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1513
Unranked
1.30.4
4.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End