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Red24
14963.6
129610.5
18175.7
Blue53
15618.5
142118.7
12094.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162801020405060702453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
Unranked
10.50.5
8.28.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
1421
Unranked
18.72.2
14.116.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1817
Unranked
5.70.5
5.05.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1561
Unranked
8.52.2
8.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1496
Unranked
3.60.5
4.44.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1209
Unranked
4.82.2
3.65.8
Auto
Teleop
End