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Red36
18019.3
14298.8
19205.7
Blue20
317.9
576.7
4769.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162201030405060703620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1801
Unranked
9.31.6
6.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
476
Unranked
9.20.1
9.49.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1429
Unranked
8.81.6
6.58.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
31
Unranked
7.90.1
6.36.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1920
Unranked
5.71.6
4.46.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
57
Unranked
6.70.1
6.05.9
Auto
Teleop
End