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Red16
4577.9
18671.5
7049.7
Blue40
2385.8
191312.2
17427.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19210103040501640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
704
Unranked
9.70.3
9.99.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1913
Unranked
12.21.6
9.110.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
457
Unranked
7.90.2
8.07.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1742
Unranked
7.91.6
6.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1867
Unranked
1.50.3
1.20.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
238
Unranked
5.81.0
5.36.3
Auto
Teleop
End