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Red7
4994.1
12555.5
11819.9
Blue8
4414.7
576.7
4769.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29220104050607078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
19.91.7
16.214.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
476
Unranked
9.21.2
10.39.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1255
Unranked
5.51.7
6.34.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
57
Unranked
6.70.8
6.76.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
499
Unranked
4.11.7
6.04.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
441
Unranked
4.71.2
6.14.9
Auto
Teleop
End