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Red30
191312.2
15618.5
13260.7
Blue20
4414.7
6248.3
18189.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18240103040503020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1913
Unranked
12.20.8
11.412.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1818
Unranked
9.00.2
9.39.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1561
Unranked
8.50.8
7.78.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
624
Unranked
8.30.2
8.88.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1326
Unranked
0.70.8
-0.10.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
441
Unranked
4.70.2
4.94.7
Auto
Teleop
End