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Red58
190220.8
14817.1
12555.5
Blue80
11819.9
43710.4
93212.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433802060801001201401605880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
Unranked
20.80.3
20.520.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
118
Unranked
19.90.9
18.519.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
148
Unranked
17.10.3
16.717.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
932
Unranked
12.40.9
11.011.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1255
Unranked
5.50.3
5.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
437
Unranked
10.40.9
9.010.0
Auto
Teleop
End