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Red9
11324.4
6384.1
15984.7
Blue10
9773.6
8435.5
18295.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15240406080100910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1598
Unranked
4.70.6
5.85.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1829
Unranked
5.71.1
7.16.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1132
Unranked
4.40.6
4.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
843
Unranked
5.51.1
8.17.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
638
Unranked
4.10.6
5.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
977
Unranked
3.61.1
7.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End