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Red7
15992.6
6207.5
18303.8
Blue13
105410.1
3453.3
9269.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222201030405060713

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
Unranked
7.51.3
10.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1054
Unranked
10.10.7
6.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1830
Unranked
3.81.3
6.14.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
926
Unranked
9.80.7
6.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1599
Unranked
2.61.3
6.14.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
345
Unranked
3.30.7
8.17.4
Auto
Teleop
End