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Red23
4054.7
12229.7
10335.4
Blue12
146711.2
3889.4
3453.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282801020405060702312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1222
Unranked
9.70.4
9.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1467
Unranked
11.21.3
8.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1033
Unranked
5.40.4
11.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
388
Unranked
9.41.3
12.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
405
Unranked
4.70.4
6.86.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
345
Unranked
3.31.3
7.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End