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Red19
3466.3
22217.2
12367.4
Blue63
43514.1
105410.1
17937.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272901020405060701963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
Unranked
17.20.7
13.312.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
435
Unranked
14.12.8
17.120.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1236
Unranked
7.40.7
8.57.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1054
Unranked
10.12.8
6.18.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
346
Unranked
6.30.7
5.24.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1793
Unranked
7.32.8
5.98.7
Auto
Teleop
End