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Red40
141314.8
18303.8
108610.7
Blue23
18712.6
146711.2
4478.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202015253035404023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1413
Unranked
14.81.7
10.011.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1467
Unranked
11.20.3
6.97.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1086
Unranked
10.71.7
4.96.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
447
Unranked
8.20.3
8.68.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1830
Unranked
3.81.7
4.66.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1871
Unranked
2.60.3
4.34.5
Auto
Teleop
End