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Red0
15225.4
9773.6
105410.1
Blue2
11724.8
5402.7
6193.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281102040608010012002

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1054
Unranked
10.12.2
8.96.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
1172
Unranked
4.80.9
6.05.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1522
Unranked
5.42.2
10.38.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
619
Unranked
3.10.9
2.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
977
Unranked
3.62.2
6.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
540
Unranked
2.70.9
4.33.4
Auto
Teleop
End