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Red4
8046.5
19082.8
6129.0
Blue11
3399.9
4054.7
9773.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21250406080100411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
Unranked
9.01.5
8.57.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
339
Unranked
9.91.2
8.27.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
804
Unranked
6.51.5
7.25.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
405
Unranked
4.71.2
7.86.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1908
Unranked
2.81.7
2.84.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
977
Unranked
3.61.2
8.87.6
Auto
Teleop
End