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Red31
6003.8
5402.7
9759.6
Blue14
6129.0
5395.2
3466.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421010304050603114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
975
Unranked
9.61.4
7.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
612
Unranked
9.00.5
7.46.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
600
Unranked
3.81.4
3.34.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
346
Unranked
6.30.5
5.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
540
Unranked
2.71.4
3.44.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
539
Unranked
5.20.5
7.77.2
Auto
Teleop
End