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Red38
8046.5
51020.8
6193.1
Blue22
11324.4
1654.7
1227.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261604060801001203822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
510
Unranked
20.81.1
16.918.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
122
Unranked
7.50.4
8.28.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
804
Unranked
6.51.1
5.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
165
Unranked
4.70.4
4.24.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
619
Unranked
3.11.1
1.62.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1132
Unranked
4.40.4
4.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End