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Red58
8435.5
113716.1
51020.8
Blue9
6207.5
19082.8
18712.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40130206080100120589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
510
Unranked
20.81.7
18.119.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
620
Unranked
7.50.6
8.57.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1137
Unranked
16.11.7
14.716.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
1908
Unranked
2.80.6
3.32.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
843
Unranked
5.51.7
4.26.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1871
Unranked
2.60.6
4.33.7
Auto
Teleop
End