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Red64
6237.5
38418.1
108610.7
Blue6
10335.4
6193.1
6384.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36130206080100646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
Unranked
18.12.6
20.122.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
1033
Unranked
5.40.8
7.66.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1086
Unranked
10.72.6
8.310.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
638
Unranked
4.10.8
5.04.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
623
Unranked
7.52.6
4.97.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
619
Unranked
3.10.8
3.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End