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Red0
92811.1
6237.5
11324.4
Blue21
18712.6
42211.4
15992.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1920010304050021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
928
Unranked
11.11.7
6.04.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
422
Unranked
11.40.2
7.17.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
623
Unranked
7.51.7
8.06.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
1871
Unranked
2.63.5
2.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1132
Unranked
4.41.7
6.34.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1599
Unranked
2.63.6
2.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End