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Red9
15984.7
4054.7
38418.1
Blue27
34319.3
11724.8
9269.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3335102030405060927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
Unranked
18.12.1
22.720.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
343
Unranked
19.30.5
18.317.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1598
Unranked
4.71.9
4.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
926
Unranked
9.80.5
10.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
405
Unranked
4.72.0
6.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1172
Unranked
4.80.5
5.44.8
Auto
Teleop
End