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Red0
10335.4
19082.8
6003.8
Blue14
18857.6
3453.3
1654.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1617010203040014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1033
Unranked
5.41.3
6.85.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1885
Unranked
7.60.2
7.87.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
600
Unranked
3.81.4
5.23.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
165
Unranked
4.70.2
4.94.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1908
Unranked
2.81.4
5.23.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
345
Unranked
3.30.2
3.53.3
Auto
Teleop
End