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Red9
3399.9
17157.6
5395.2
Blue40
51020.8
18295.7
105410.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26370206080100940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
Unranked
9.91.4
11.39.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
510
Unranked
20.80.4
20.420.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1715
Unranked
7.61.5
9.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1054
Unranked
10.10.4
9.710.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
539
Unranked
5.21.3
6.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1829
Unranked
5.70.4
5.45.7
Auto
Teleop
End