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Red0
173119.3
41413.2
4018.7
Blue20
38418.1
43514.1
15225.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444501020304050607080020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
Unranked
19.31.1
20.619.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
384
Unranked
18.10.6
20.219.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
414
Unranked
13.21.1
14.513.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
435
Unranked
14.10.6
16.215.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
401
Unranked
8.71.1
10.08.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1522
Unranked
5.40.6
7.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End